Stay or Go Matrix

 

	Stay	Go
Status Quo (25% likelihood in 10 years)	Upsides: I have built a decent life here   I have friends and family here   I would be able to follow through on plans for retirement based on the status quo	Upsides: I might enjoy living some place else – adventure! It could be cheaper to live some place else – could either upgrade lifestyle, or conserve resources more frugally I could work towards citizenship in a different country, and increase my overall mobility
	Downsides:	Downsides: I would uproot my life It could be very lonely – all my supports are here   Living in a different culture can be wearying
Collapse (75% likelihood in 10 years)	Upsides: I could support others in a terrible time   Potentially, I have supports here that I could use to ride it out Seattle may be a better location compared to some others	Upsides:   The effect of the collapse may not be as great outside the US   I could potentially live in greater freedom and prosperity
	Downsides: Job might no longer exist – currently based in fragile systems of tax law Could lose housing, or living here may end up not being viable anyway The wealth I’ve built for retirement could go poof! almost immediately   Would suffer under an authoritarian and oppressive political structure Seattle as a “liberal” city, may be a target for repression	Downsides:   Same downsides as status quo above, plus:   I could still lose all my wealth, which is invested in the economic structures that could distintigrate no matter what   Some place else could be just as bad as the US, or close enough, that I wouldn’t gain any of the hoped-for benefits   People much less likely to help a foreigner/refugee when their own systems under strain